ON THE APPLICATION OF THE EXTREME VALUE THEORY IN SHIP’S STRENGTH CALCULATIONS

Abstract

The problem undertaken by the Author is fundamen- tal for ship safety and was discussed many times in the past (e.g. Boistov, 2000). However, the discus- sions did not dispel the Author’s or my doubts for the same reason: “If the calculations with the Ex- treme Value Theory of the probability of exceeding of the design hull girder bending moment are cor- rect, ships would suffer more severe casualties than previously observed.”